21 Nov 2009

Thank God For The Heat

Raptors 120, Heat 113 – Box

Thank God for the Heat. Over the last two seasons, as bad as things were for the Raptors, every time the Heat popped up on the schedule (home or away), the Raptors licked their lips and got themselves a win. Even though Wade and HO had their team 7-4 heading into the ACC, last night was no different. Before getting into it, how good is Wade? Miami is essentially a D-League team captained by the best player (I guess, you can interchange Kobe, LeBron and Wade as far as I’m concerned) in the league.

Bargnani got things rolling where he faked a three on the very first possession, took a step inside the three-point line and stuck a jumper. He committed a charge two possessions later, but he gave up a clean look at a three and a 15 footer to get into the paint. I will take him being aggressive like that any day of the week. Bargnani’s early active play opened space for Bosh to operate in the paint, giving him room to drive or step back and nail that jumper. Ball movement was fabulous with 7 of the 9 field goals in the quarter being assisted on (Calderon with 4 dimes).

The Heat were matching the Raptors basket for basket. Where the Raptors were creating good looks from the perimeter for each and knocking them down, the Heat were getting in the lane for layups/dunks. Wade got into the lane 6 times by my count, scoring 8 and setting HO up for a dunk. For the quarter, the Heat had 12 points in the paint to the Raptors’ 4.

The second quarter was a stretch where the Raptors could do no wrong. Ball movement was phenomenal:

  • Hedo drove, drew the double and kicked to Bosh for the open jumper
  • Jack drove, drew the double and kicked to Hedo for the open three
  • Bargnani hits Belinelli with a skip pass for an open jumper
  • Belinelli hits Johnson with three great passes in a row in the paint for layups (all three of these plays were ridiculous)

14 assists all together in the frame. It was actually the greatest 12 minutes I’ve ever seen the Raptors play. Everyone was involved, people were moving around, setting screens, hitting each other with passes, rolling towards the rim off the screen…smiling. At one point, Reggie Evans even rubbed Triano’s head and kissed him – good times.

  • 69 points at the half
  • 28-41 from the field
  • 9-10 from the line
  • 23 rebounds (4 offensive)
  • 21 assists
  • 22 points off the bench

The third quarter started with the Heat determined to do something and Wade setting the tone by attacking the paint. The whole offense went through him. He got into the lane, finished despite contact, or dropped it off to someone for a dunk, or kicked out to what eventually turned out to be an uncontested jumper from the perimeter. On the Raptor side of things, it couldn’t have been worse, Calderon must have been passing out bad Gatorade at half because this wasn’t the same team from the 2nd quarter.

It wasn’t so much that the Raptors were playing horribly, they were just playing uninspired. The Raptors and Heat went back and forth, matching each other basket for basket for the first half of the quarter. Ball movement wasn’t the same though for the Raptors, no one was attacking the rim, our bigs were active on the glass, but little else. Where the Raptors were getting into the paint in the first half, they were standing around the perimeter popping jumpers (they missed 10 jumpers in the quarter).

Then the Heat flipped a switch. They scored a quick 8 points, then went on a mini 7-3 run, then a 6-2 run to close out the quarter. All-in-all, the Heat went on a 21-5 run in the last 4:58 of the 3rd. it came quickly and without warning. The Raptors didn’t score a field goal in that stretch with all 5 points coming at the line. It was a sad site, like watching AltRaps sob after a night of paid companionship.

The 4th was tense with both sides only scoring 4 points in the first 3 and a half minutes. Then it slowly happened. The Raptors would hit a shot, the Heat responded with a three. HO blocked Hedo on the drive, Wade pushes the ball on the break, found Jones who stopped and popped (he had his foot on the line or it would have been a tie game) and boom, 100-99 – Raptors up by 1 with 3:44 left in the game. All of us at home sank into our seats, those of us at RFF sank in their beverages.

Bosh attacks the rim like a man possessed out of the timeout, drew the foul and hit both from the line, 102-99 Raptors – slight breathing space. HO returns the favour on the next possession, 102-101 Raptors. Hedo gets into the paint, draws the double and kicks to Bargnani who hits a clutch three, 105-101 Raptors. Beasley responds with a jumper off of a swing pass from Jones, 105-103 Raptors. Hedo gets into the lane, and draws the foul, hits both, 107-103 Raptors….

With the game on the line, a defensive stand was needed and it came. After the Raptors made three great defensive rotations, Bosh reached high to block a Beasley hook as the shot-clock was expiring and got possession back with the Raptors up 4. Hedo penetrated and hit an open Bargnani, who swung the ball to a wide open Jack for a three – dagger, 110-103 Raptors, Heat timeout. Another defensive stand was soon to follow, Raptors rotated on defense like clockwork and contested an already questionable three by Wade which rimmed out. Calderon ran the pick ‘n roll to find a rolling Bosh who stepped back and stuck the jumper, another dagger, 112-103 Raptors, another Heat timeout. After Jones misses a relatively contested long three Jack hit another dagger from behind the arc and the rest was academic.

For the record, I still think Jack is a terrible shooter, and should be restricted to driving and dishing, but he had a solid 4th quarter and hit two clutch shots to seal the game.

The Four Factors to Winning

Shooting the Ball Well
Did I say ‘well’? I meant to say ‘great’. the Raptors shot the hell out of the ball last night. 58% from the field (60% from behind the arc) and 81% from the line. The great shooting was a result of the great playmaking. You pass the rock around until someone frees up and you’ll get great looks, it’s simple. Note that the Heat had 18 more field goal attempts but had 2 less field goals made.
Raptors – 64%
Heat - 47.7%

Taking Care of the Ball
Horrible, just horrible. The Raptors did not take care of the ball at all, which is something we take for granted around these parts. How bad was it? Calderon had 10ast and 4tos, Hedo had 8ast 4tos (Jack had none).
Raptors – 20.2%
Heat – 9%

Offensive Rebounding
For all the great work our bigs did rebounding the ball (Bargnani had 10 rebounds for crying out loud), we did a terrible job of rebounding on our own end. Beasley and HO were more then a handful (grabbing 6 and 3 respectively) which allowed the Heat wings to slip in and grab a few offensive boards that almost broke our back.
Raptors – 26.4%
Heat – 30.6%

Getting to the Free Throw Line
Both teams were about the same from the line but the Raptors had a higher free throw rate (Free Throw Rate = Free Throw Attempts / Field Goal Attempts) because they got to the free throw line more frequently.
Raptors – 50.7%
Heat - 38.2%

It’s safe to say that the Raptors won this game with phenomenal shooting, both from the field and the line, as they were out rebounded and didn’t protect the ball nearly as well as the Heat did. After that road swing this win was very necessary.

Player Impact

Bosh, again…you surprised? Our boy had another monster night, with 29pts 10rebs 4blks. He was a monster all over the court. Bargnani was right there though with a monster of his own: 24pts 10rebs 2blks. The difference tonight was the play of Hedo and Jack, who both had their best games as Raptors.

48 Raps

  1. @Liston says:

    Great post – if we kept care of the ball better in the early part of the second half we wouldn’t have given them some light. Need to clean that up, but otherwise an excellent performance across the board. #FreeAmir

    • FAQ says:

      Turnovers will happen when you have a team with so many new players trying to mesh … except for Jack who turns the ball over all on his own. And then there’s Demar “Look-at-me-I’m-in-the-NBA” Derozan making silly rookie turnovers … and then there’s Bosh who is learning to pass first … Bargs too ….!!!!

  2. Buddahfan says:

    A stat you aren’t going to believe

    Of all Eastern Conference teams the Raps have the second best record against EC teams.

    Only Atlanta is better at beating EC teams.

  3. shee says:

    yeah great post… must’ve been a joy to watch that game… (freaking TSN2 which we can’t get in Quebec :()

  4. Sho says:

    I saw Bosh/Amir/Jack last night after the game. They all looked extremely happy with the win.

    It was nice to see Jack/Derozen have good games.

  5. Timo Vainionpaa says:

    great post… good work guys… I also like reading the roll call AltRaps puts up after every game…loved the attitude early from DeMar in attacking the rim and the monster dunk…in watching the game at home I was hoping the faithful at the ACC would have helped pick up the team in the third quarter… they only responded when Bosh finally screamed at them to make some noise

  6. JP says:

    “I guess, you can interchange Kobe, LeBron and Wade as far as I’m concerned”

    Kobe surrounded by D-League players?

    You’re an NBA analyst???

  7. BA says:

    “Miami is essentially a D-League team captained by the best player (I guess, you can interchange Kobe, LeBron and Wade as far as I’m concerned) in the league.”

    Yeah, so the raptors let 3 d-league player score 30, 21 and 17. Good job.

  8. Brandon says:

    A few comments about Bargnani’s efficiency. Right now he takes (rounding up) 14 shots per game and hits 7 of them. He shoots an average of 3.5 foul shots per game. Like everybody else, his shooting percentage goes down as he gets farther away from the basket.

    If Bargnani drove to the basket on long 2-point jump shot opportunities, he would get fouled more. A lot more in fact. Almost every time I see him do this he gets fouled. He also knows how to contrive a shot to get a shooting foul.

    If Bargs got to the line twice as much as he does, which is certainly reasonable, his scoring and efficiency would improve, because he would be missing fewer long jumpers and he is a superb foul shooter (.889 so far). If Bargs got to the line 8-10 times per game, he would likely score 4-6 more points per game, putting him at 22-24 ppg.

    Bargs has a unique ability to dribble-drive that possibly no other 7 footer has ever had. Post defenders don’t expect to have to stop this kind of thing from a 7 footer. That gives Bargs an advantage.

    The truth is, I’d like to see his value increase so the Raps could trade him for a great post defender, but I do think he’s capable of making better decisions offensively out there.

    • RAPMAN says:

      If he continues to play like this, is contract with be priceless, 10 mill/year for a 20 ppg player, is an awesome deal, especially since he is only 24, and he has 7 years left on his contract.

      I just had a question for you guys:

      Has anyone else noticed how bargnani is starting to get foul calls instead fouling other players. It seems to me bargnani used to make the same drives the past 3 years, and he 80% of the someone would draw a charge against him. But now almost all the calls go towards him. But still, i twitch every time he makes a drive!

      • vino says:

        Speaking of frequent foot dances… how many times have u guys noticed Bosh catch the ball, spin on both feet (moving both pivots)… then instead of going up and finishing a play he stops and pump fakes; going up only after the defender lifts up in the air. Awesome outcome, and most of the time he gets it in (sometimes even draws a foul)… but the bottom line is that this play is – travelling!

        Re: Bargs – would love to see him play more inside, and get to the line more often.

    • Birdman says:

      I’ve been noticing that Barg’s isn’t getting a travelling violation called against him when he does that fake-3-dribble-drive move. During his rookie year (and even as late as the start of last year) he got whistled every time he tried to pull that stunt.

      The funny thing is, I still think his footwork is all messed up. The refs just let it go because he’s established himself in the league. I hate the fact that refs dictate their calls based on the merit of the player committing (or not) the violation.

      Speaking of awful reffing re: travelling calls, check this out:
      http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xN_ljDfevB0

      • weeeeems says:

        His footwork is pretty sloppy but he’s like a mack truck getting into the lane, I love it.

    • Silverback says:

      I’m not sure about trading Bargnani – not ruling it out in the future – but, I do agree with your assessment of his ability to dribble drive better than almost any 7 footer ever – I think Dirk is as good, but that’s all I can think of. Getting to the free throw line is a realistic goal for him. Maybe moreso then being a beast on the boards – which might be unrealistic. If he averaged 22 – 24 points per game, 6 – 8 boards, and is able to score from pretty much anywhere, that’s a valuable player – either to the Raps or some other team – especially at 10 million per year.

  9. Jhigh says:

    Yeah, they would be a weak team without Wade however to infer the rest of the roster is a D-league team is ridiculous in my opinion. Beasley is a #2 overall pick, O’Neal is still a solid NBA player, Mario Chalmers is a talented player. I could go on.

    It seems many who post this site lack respect for how good you have to be to play in the NBA.

  10. Anthony says:

    Small point but often we read how the first game back from a road trip is essentially another road game. Yesterday with one day of rest after a western trip they beat a decent club. The Raptors have had few easy games to this point and are doing okay.

    They have yet to get real production for Derozan, Evans (who was to be the defensive presence) has not played, Turk slightly injured has played well but hasn’t had a breakout game yet, Calderon only ok to date, Barg can’t seem to replicate what he does at home on the road to this point, and Jack hopefully has turned the corner…..

    This team could be pretty good if they start to gel…..

    • Seeten says:

      Agreed. I’m predicting this team will start 3-30, maybe by Christmas they’ll start to gel and win some games …so obvious.

      • RapthoseLeafs says:

        .

        Hey … FAQ had stats to back up that prediction.
        Not sure if it was Leaf stats though.

        .

        • Anthony says:

          Their record following a West Coast trip of 4 games was 4-14….. They beat a decent team yesterday…. Nothing to be ashamed about.

  11. MJ Fan says:

    Wade, we will keep Bosh next year, and our door is open to make a sign and trade to get you. Maybe we could use AB7, Calderon and even a pick to get you. What do you think!!??

    • bankformayor says:

      That would work for me. wade will become our franchise player and Bosh will become the complimentary piece. Makes sense.

      • RAPMAN says:

        Heh, I wouldn’t make the trade. Because we will essentially have 2 superstars and d league players… That would never win us championships. Now, if MLS was willing to go over the luxury tax that would make sense.

    • Marz says:

      lmao, could you imagine that? Everyone’s predicting Bosh will leave Toronto to go to a U.S. market with LeBron/Wade. Instead, LeBron/Wade go to Toronto. Imagine the headlines!

      “Wade leaves Florida beaches for CANADA?!”

  12. Buddahfan says:

    Toronto Raptors’ Bench Dropping Buckets in Bunches-All Studs No Duds

    (edited for copyright)

    http://bleacherreport.com/articles/294894-raptors-bench-dropping-buckets-in-bunches-all-studs-no-duds

    • RAPMAN says:

      Good post but just a bit too optimistic.

      BTW anyone know when Reggie is coming back? I can’t wait for his return!

  13. D Squared says:

    Was it just me or did anyone else scream their head off at Jose for drifting off his man Mario Chalmers late in the 4th Q and letting him drain a couple of 3-pointers in a dangerously close game?

    That, and how ridiculously easy was it for Chalmers to blow by Jose for that layup in the closing seconds?

    We need to pool some money together here at Raptors Republic and offer to pay for a basketball defensive seminar for Jose.

    I mean – C’MON!

  14. bankformayor says:

    The best was when Beasley blew past Bosh twice. That was hilarious.

    • Brain Colangelo says:

      Beasley is a nice scorer.

      • bankformayor says:

        I agree Beasley is a good scorer. The point I am trying to make is that Raptors play terrible defense that includes our Franchise player. Why is it that we mention “specifically” about other individuals lapses on defense but our franchise player is not afforded the same criticism.

        • Brain Colangelo says:

          Bosh gets tons of criticism on this board.

          • bankformyor says:

            Bosh gets a lot of criticism. Get real. This forum gives a bosh a free ride. They never give a critical analysis of his game. They seem to nit pick for every other Raptor except Bosh. Just trying to level the playing field.

  15. Peter says:

    It was hilarious, I agree, when Bosh got blown by twice in a row. Even Armstrong pointed out that Bosh has got to move laterally. Oh well, I guess when you are superstar, the coach and media is afraid to criticize you too much for defensive lapses.

    As for Calderon? It’s more like inability to keep up, rather than effort. Just not athletic enough. I think to win a championship, we need a more athletic PG that can defend the perimeter to begin with.

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