05 May 2009

Crosshair: Roko Ukic

Roko Ukic Toronto Raptors Barcelona Lottomatica RomaIf I had to buy a Raptors jersey, it’d be Roko’s.

Not having watched many Lottomatica or Barcelona games, I was surprised at how raw Ukic really was. I didn’t expect a refined product but was hoping for him to be of reliable service, after all he’d been playing regularly on some of the better teams in Europe for a few years. The thinking was that instead of playing four years of college ball he got his learning done through a different, maybe even a better, means. Turns out there’s no real substitute for NCAA training and I was a fool for even entertaining that thought. If players like Nowitzki and Ginobili need time to adjust, so will Ukic. The unfair expectations set on him had a lot to do with the fact that he was the designated backup PG to start the season. I naturally assumed that Colangelo and the Raptors brass had done some heavy scouting and evaluation and had come to the conclusion that he was ready to step in. It wasn’t the case.

Colangelo admitted that one of his biggest failings was not to sure up the backup PG spot and that relying on the platoon of Solomon and Ukic was a huge gamble. Once Calderon got injured and was unable to perform at expected levels, this fatal mistake by Colangelo was further illuminated upon and turned out to be a major reason for our terrible season. So before you blame Ukic or Solomon for not performing, blame Colangelo for asking them to.

Parallel’s have often been drawn between Calderon and Ukic’s rookie years and I’m here to tell you that Roko’s been given half the chance Calderon got his first year. Take a look at their rookie numbers:

	G	MIN	FG%	3P%	FT%	STL	BLK	TO	PF	TOT	AST	PTS
Roko	72	12.4	.380	.177	.733	0.4	0.0	0.8	1.1	1.1	2.1	4.2
Jose	64	23.2	.423	.163	.848	0.7	0.1	1.6	1.5	2.2	4.5	5.5

Calderon was playing a good chunk of minutes on a team that sucked while Ukic was playing marginal minutes on a team that was expected to contend. The stakes were higher for Ukic than they were for Calderon and having Solomon around to muddy the waters didn’t exactly help his development. Over the last two months of the season I was practically begging for Calderon to be rested and Ukic to assume the starting role so that he can speed up his development in time for next year. It didn’t happen and we wasted a great chance to prime him for next year. In the end he played half the minutes Calderon played in his rookie year, and that too in a spotty and sporadic way.

The drive to his right was Ukic’s main scoring threat and he became better and better at getting to the rim as the season went along. What happened when he got there was a different story. Part of his driving success could be attributed to a defense that hadn’t heard of him but he should get credit for the majority of his success there. You’re going to kill me for this but I liken his drive a lot to Rajan Rondo, when he gets a full head of steam at the top of three point of line, his determination does the rest. He didn’t beat his man using crazy crossovers or deceptive dribbles, no, he mostly used quick high-screen turns, transition momentum and hesitation moves to get there – just like Rondo.

The most noticeable thing about his finishing was how much he didn’t anticipate getting blocked. When it became a little too obvious that he had no idea how to deal with a waiting big man, he admitted that NBA shot-blockers were a different breed than the ones in Europe. This was an area of his game that didn’t improve through the course of the season, he showed little creativity around the rim and just went up for the straight layup which didn’t fool anyone. Perhaps a reverse layup or a better left hand is in order because it’s a shame to see those drives go unrewarded. Even then his drive managed to win us two of the biggest games of the season – Orlando and San Antonio.

I often talked about the tunnel-vision he demonstrated when he drove the ball, especially in late quarter possessions. His recognition of the whereabouts of his teammates was often poor and he attempted many shots when there were open options on the perimeter. When he made up his mind to drive, he did just that and with full intention of taking the shot instead of hunting for options as they presented themselves. Before I sound too critical let me point out that his PER48 assists are comparable to Calderon’s rookie year so its not like this is necessarily a permanent problem.

Pound-for-pound, his defensive effort was one of the best on the team. That’s not a joke, his defensive stance is excellent, his lateral movement is up to par and if his effort continues to be what it was, he’ll be a very capable defender. For a 6′5″ guy he moves well which prevented a lot of team’s from going at him in the post, and if anything, he started getting more scores from the low-block late in the season. The memory’s a little hazy right now but opposing PGs met with much more resistance when turning the corner against Ukic than Calderon and generally speaking, his defense was more than acceptable. I hope Triano can utilize his frame in front-court traps, his agility and size when combined with a defensive minded SF, say Marion, could prove to be a good defensive weapon when trying to kill a shot-clock.

The two biggest issues with Ukic are his shot and ball-handling. A three-point percentage of 18% and a 38% FG rate is extremely poor and can become cancerous for an offense. We saw teams leave him entirely unguarded on the perimeter which congested our offense even further, for him to stay on the court he’ll need the defense to respect his shot (as is true with any backcourt player). His off-season regimen needs to include 500 jumpers a day and maybe even a specialty shooting coach. I wish Dave Hopla was around.

Finally, his dribble is not up to par and far worse than what Calderon possessed in his rookie year. He has a tendency to succumb to pressure, make half-minded point-to-wing passes and doesn’t read the passing lanes as well as a 24 year old should. His tendency to dribble with his back to the basket (for fear of getting the rock stolen) affects his court-vision which reduces his effectiveness. Too many times did the rock end up leaving his hands when was the only ball-handler on the court, and only because of a mild trap where he picked up his dribble. Since Calderon’s forte isn’t drive ‘n kick, its imperative that Roko’s be and for that to happen he needs to play facing the basket, tighten his dribble and recognize opportunities. Really, I can see what they’re talking about in his DX profile.

Everything in this post is written with the knowledge that he will get better as he gets more playing time, however, that can’t be his only source of NBA training. The summer is very important for him and he needs to bring something good to training camp or we could see a repeat of last season. This summer Colangelo won’t be standing pat and relying on Ukic to deliver, he’ll have another PG on the team and if Ukic doesn’t step up, the backup role that should be his can easily be given to someone else. It’s up for grabs, depends if he wants it bad enough. In the best case, he’s the slasher and distributor that we need, in the worst case he’s a guy you can’t afford to have on the floor because he doesn’t threaten without the ball.

20 Raps

  1. hotshot says:

    I think Roko will be fine next season (can’t be any worse he can only get better from here) but I still prefer another solid backup guard to keep Roko in check.

    Lots of uncertainty about the backup point guard next season. Do we resign Parker? do we retain Delfino? do we draft a point guard?! I am sure at the 9th pick the point guard that will be available will probably be more NBA ready to step into the backup role then Roko.

    • jay thatch says:

      Hey, phx suns fan here. would you guys look at taking stoudemire and nash from us for bosh and calderon?

  2. it is what is it is says:

    Roko is a project….

    If you have to pick one Raps jersey to buy you pick Ukic?????

    Don’t they sell those in Canada???

    Why don’t you just buy a Pape Sow old school jersey.

    I would buy a Stephen Curry Raptor jersey but thats just me….

    There are 1000 players not in the NBA who could be as good as Ukic.

    I like somethings about his game but I am not sold he will be a good NBA player maybe a 3rd stringer..Luke Ridnour or Anthony Johnson at best….

    • Marc says:

      Luke Ridnour and Anthony Johnson are both perfectly good back-up PGs. If Roko can live up to those NBA greats (sarcasm!) he’ll totally be worth keeping around.

  3. kaine says:

    if he’d become a Ridnour I’d be happy.
    more than the flaws in his game, the summer will be important to evaluate his mind : has he the will to become a complete player , at least an energy guy from the bench?

  4. MC_B-rad says:

    If I could have one Raptors jersey it would be a Parker jersey…I even named my son Parker, I hope AP is back next year…even as a 6, 7th or 8th man

  5. Duncan says:

    Great crosshairs review, but about that Ukic jersey; I would wait on that. If the Raps are going to make some kind of a trade for a PG from a team w/out a surplus of PGs, I would not be at all surprised if Roko was sent back the other way, added on at the end of the package to sweeten the deal. Not saying that I want, or think that he will be traded, just that he might be, given the above stated circumstances.

  6. Edgar says:

    Roko’s biggest obstacle stopping him from being a solid NBA player is CONFIDENCE, just like Bargnani’s was/is. Consider the similarities:

    - Show flashes of utter brilliance but struggles with any kind of consistancy

    - Both have spent their NBA careers sofar being jerked around without consistant minutes or roles/expectations

    - Trained in FIBA, where player egos are small – likely intimidated by NBA player confidence/ego

    - Are humble to the point of public self-criticism

  7. Justin says:

    Forget Hoopla, there’s more than one shot guru out there. We could contact Dave Love for example. Similar methods to Chip Engelland (Spurs assistant, shooting coach and one credited for most of Tony Parker’s development) and highly recommended by him.

  8. FAQ says:

    Let’s just be honest and admit that Euro players don’t play up to the level of athletic American NCAA players. Given enough time some Euros will flourish in the NBA but the athletic gap is glaring.

  9. INFO says:

    If he develops a jummper watch out. He can be a solid backup for Calderon. Remember that he was ust a rookie so next year will be huge and even more so the year after that. That being said I think that he will be a solid player but we might just need a guy to put some heat on him (hopefully Banks can provide that since we HAVE to pay him….)

  10. Bearvon says:

    He’s a clown.

    On another note…

    I was staying at the westin hotel in Detroit yesterday, decided to go down to the hotel bar to watch some of the game, and sitting close to me at a pretty empty bar was Allen iverson.

    Shocking. Homie was thugged up with an entourage and I overheard him say “stripclub” like 5 times.

    He was clowning on stephon marbury and rondo a lot until a random woman came over and then his disapeared (even though his car was outside everytime I was out smoking).

    I asked the valet dude what it was all about and he said that a.i. spent the last three weeks at the bar. Was even there during the pistons series.

    It’s weird cause I don’t know why he would still be in Detroit.

    Nonetheless, interesting.

  11. I was surprised by Roko’s rawness, too, but Raul Jimenez made some great points on my post here. A summary:
    - he wasn’t the type of player European coaches/teams were looking for to start (different systems, different game)
    - many top European teams have their focus on the present, instead of thinking in the next two or three years, as some NBA teams do (less interest in nurturing prospects?)
    - fewer games and more practice time in Europe, but not that much more (e.g. ACB regular season + playoffs + Copa del Rey + Euroleague)

    But as you said, Arsenalist, the guy’s got talent. He wasn’t projected in the first round of his draft year for nothing (ended up in second round because of buyout issues).

  12. Arsenalist says:

    Sorry about the lack of a post yesterday but I’m still recovering from Arsenal’s Champions League defeat. I’m planning on putting up the Kapono crosshair at some point on Thursday.

  13. Diddy says:

    Did anyone see the first point in truehoop’s first cup today? Beasley and blount for bosh?

  14. khandor says:

    IMO, Roko Ukic is not the type of back-up PG the Raptors need to keep on their roster, as long as Calderon is their starting PG. They would be better served by going in a different direction which would see Calderon backed-up by a veteran NBA player with a relatively small price-tag… e.g. like Jacque Vaughn, who might be on the move from the Spurs.

One Trackback

  1. [...] has Roko in the crosshairs, being surprised at his rawness. Here’s a clip: I was surprised at how raw Ukic really was. I [...]

Post a Rap
*
*
Short URL